Exponential Laws of Computing Growth
Peter Dennard and Ted Lewis recently described a generalized set of exponential laws for the growth of performance in information technology, beyond the chip-level scaling of Moore’s Law. They argue that repeated technology jumps at device, systems, and application levels have enabled this exponential growth, and that similar growth is likely to continue for decades to come. For the complete paper, see the feature article in the Jan. 2017 issue of the Communications of the ACM here.
For other views on the past and future of Moore’s Law and related growth curves, see the 2015 Special Report on 50 Years of Moore’s Law in IEEE Spectrum here.